This paper discusses two plausible policy scenarios that aim at mitigating global warming during the next decades and compares them to a third business as usual scenario. The different policy options underlying these scenarios are evaluated by assessing their direct and indirect economic and environmental effects until the year 2050 by applying the global economic environmental model GINFORS. The simulations with GINFORS show that the climate targets set in the different scenarios can be reached with conventional technologies. A downloadable version as well as more information about this report can be found here. Read more

This new report synthesises the outputs from the series of sector‐specific and cross‐sectoral studies produced by the CECILIA2050 consortium under Work Package 2 – ‘Understanding the Impacts and Limitations of the Current Instrument Mix in Detail’ of the CECILIA2050 project. The report can be downloaded in the publication section of this website. Read more

This CECILIA2050 report examines the implications of imposing an 80% reduction of EU CO2 emissions on the Union’s energy system and attempts to project the most cost-effective transformation pathway to achieve this goal using the recently developed European TIMES Model (ETM-UCL). Read more

This report assesses whether and to what extent energy and environmental policy instruments have been relevant forces behind the adoption of environmental innovations in the EU. The report takes a sectoral perspective that is theoretically based on neo Schumpeterian evolutionary theory to qualitatively investigate the factors that characterise the adoption of techno-organisational innovations aimed at enhancing energy efficiency and abating CO2 through interviews with industry representatives of key EU sectors. The interview-based analysis is complemented by econometric evidence on the policy drivers of eco-innovation at the sector level. The Industry’s views are integrated with a ‘stakeholder based’ analysis drawing upon on unions and policy makers’ views on the challenges faced by a greener economy. In total, the analysis provides bottom up and ex post based knowledge on both successful and undermining factors of the existent policy mix in EU countries, and provides consequent recommendations to ameliorate the (design of) the policy package. The full report can be found and downloaded here. Read more